{
  "source": "Carsbuyer",
  "source_url": "https://carsbuyer.org/pt/depreciacao/volkswagen-golf",
  "licence": "Citação permitida com atribuição a Carsbuyer e indicação da data.",
  "measured": "asking_price",
  "measured_note": "Preços PEDIDOS em anúncios ativos do OLX Portugal, não preços de venda fechados.",
  "collected_until": "2026-09-15",
  "updated_at": "2026-09-15T06:51:28Z",
  "market": "PT",
  "currency": "EUR",
  "brand": "Volkswagen",
  "model": "Golf",
  "slug": "volkswagen-golf",
  "sample_size": 704,
  "method": "Ajuste log-linear do preço pedido mediano sobre o ano de fabrico; a taxa é uma percentagem do valor restante por ano de idade.",
  "annual_depreciation_rate": 0.092,
  "fit_r2": 0.934,
  "reference_year": 2026,
  "measured_age_range": {
    "from": 4,
    "to": 37
  },
  "model_year_range": {
    "from": 1989,
    "to": 2022
  },
  "half_life_years": 7.2,
  "retained_value": {
    "after_1y": 0.908,
    "after_3y": 0.748,
    "after_5y": 0.616,
    "after_8y": 0.461
  },
  "retained_value_base": {
    "model_year": 2022,
    "age": 4,
    "fitted_price_eur": 26265
  },
  "cost_of_one_year_of_age": [
    {
      "age": 4,
      "model_year": 2022,
      "cost_eur": 2424
    },
    {
      "age": 5,
      "model_year": 2021,
      "cost_eur": 2200
    },
    {
      "age": 6,
      "model_year": 2020,
      "cost_eur": 1997
    },
    {
      "age": 7,
      "model_year": 2019,
      "cost_eur": 1813
    },
    {
      "age": 8,
      "model_year": 2018,
      "cost_eur": 1645
    },
    {
      "age": 9,
      "model_year": 2017,
      "cost_eur": 1494
    },
    {
      "age": 10,
      "model_year": 2016,
      "cost_eur": 1356
    },
    {
      "age": 11,
      "model_year": 2015,
      "cost_eur": 1231
    },
    {
      "age": 12,
      "model_year": 2014,
      "cost_eur": 1117
    },
    {
      "age": 13,
      "model_year": 2013,
      "cost_eur": 1014
    },
    {
      "age": 14,
      "model_year": 2012,
      "cost_eur": 920
    },
    {
      "age": 15,
      "model_year": 2011,
      "cost_eur": 836
    },
    {
      "age": 16,
      "model_year": 2010,
      "cost_eur": 758
    },
    {
      "age": 17,
      "model_year": 2009,
      "cost_eur": 688
    },
    {
      "age": 18,
      "model_year": 2008,
      "cost_eur": 625
    },
    {
      "age": 19,
      "model_year": 2007,
      "cost_eur": 567
    },
    {
      "age": 20,
      "model_year": 2006,
      "cost_eur": 515
    },
    {
      "age": 21,
      "model_year": 2005,
      "cost_eur": 467
    },
    {
      "age": 22,
      "model_year": 2004,
      "cost_eur": 424
    },
    {
      "age": 23,
      "model_year": 2003,
      "cost_eur": 385
    },
    {
      "age": 24,
      "model_year": 2002,
      "cost_eur": 350
    },
    {
      "age": 25,
      "model_year": 2001,
      "cost_eur": 317
    },
    {
      "age": 26,
      "model_year": 2000,
      "cost_eur": 288
    },
    {
      "age": 27,
      "model_year": 1999,
      "cost_eur": 261
    },
    {
      "age": 28,
      "model_year": 1998,
      "cost_eur": 237
    },
    {
      "age": 29,
      "model_year": 1997,
      "cost_eur": 215
    },
    {
      "age": 30,
      "model_year": 1996,
      "cost_eur": 196
    },
    {
      "age": 31,
      "model_year": 1995,
      "cost_eur": 178
    },
    {
      "age": 32,
      "model_year": 1994,
      "cost_eur": 161
    },
    {
      "age": 33,
      "model_year": 1993,
      "cost_eur": 146
    },
    {
      "age": 34,
      "model_year": 1992,
      "cost_eur": 133
    },
    {
      "age": 37,
      "model_year": 1989,
      "cost_eur": 99
    }
  ],
  "age_from_which_a_year_costs_under": null,
  "caveats": [
    "A série é um corte transversal de anos de fabrico diferentes hoje, não o mesmo carro seguido ao longo do tempo.",
    "Entre o ano mais antigo e o mais recente o modelo mudou de geração, por isso parte da diferença de preço é equipamento e não idade.",
    "Os valores em euros saem da curva ajustada; as medianas observadas por ano estão em by_year."
  ],
  "rate_bend": null,
  "rate_bend_note": "Nenhuma quebra entre os 4 e os 15 anos explica os preços melhor do que uma taxa constante: neste modelo a percentagem não abranda com a idade.",
  "by_year": [
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "sample_size": 13,
      "asking_price_median": 26500,
      "mileage_km_median": 80000
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "sample_size": 19,
      "asking_price_median": 24000,
      "mileage_km_median": 71917
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "sample_size": 8,
      "asking_price_median": 25745,
      "mileage_km_median": 46557
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "sample_size": 16,
      "asking_price_median": 18995,
      "mileage_km_median": 118000
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "sample_size": 12,
      "asking_price_median": 24620,
      "mileage_km_median": 135614
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "sample_size": 31,
      "asking_price_median": 24750,
      "mileage_km_median": 132000
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "sample_size": 18,
      "asking_price_median": 14475,
      "mileage_km_median": 124757
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "sample_size": 41,
      "asking_price_median": 13500,
      "mileage_km_median": 168262
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "sample_size": 38,
      "asking_price_median": 13249,
      "mileage_km_median": 196000
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "sample_size": 26,
      "asking_price_median": 9700,
      "mileage_km_median": 205000
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "sample_size": 26,
      "asking_price_median": 8825,
      "mileage_km_median": 212000
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "sample_size": 29,
      "asking_price_median": 8250,
      "mileage_km_median": 188862
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "sample_size": 34,
      "asking_price_median": 7500,
      "mileage_km_median": 200000
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "sample_size": 32,
      "asking_price_median": 6850,
      "mileage_km_median": 248750
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "sample_size": 20,
      "asking_price_median": 5625,
      "mileage_km_median": 269200
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "sample_size": 16,
      "asking_price_median": 5750,
      "mileage_km_median": 237511
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "sample_size": 16,
      "asking_price_median": 6900,
      "mileage_km_median": 214400
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "sample_size": 26,
      "asking_price_median": 3970,
      "mileage_km_median": 255345
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "sample_size": 26,
      "asking_price_median": 3950,
      "mileage_km_median": 252367
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "sample_size": 15,
      "asking_price_median": 4800,
      "mileage_km_median": 330000
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "sample_size": 23,
      "asking_price_median": 3499,
      "mileage_km_median": 350000
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "sample_size": 35,
      "asking_price_median": 2500,
      "mileage_km_median": 250000
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "sample_size": 28,
      "asking_price_median": 2625,
      "mileage_km_median": 276000
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "sample_size": 28,
      "asking_price_median": 2250,
      "mileage_km_median": 307000
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "sample_size": 26,
      "asking_price_median": 2400,
      "mileage_km_median": 276000
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "sample_size": 27,
      "asking_price_median": 2000,
      "mileage_km_median": 288500
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "sample_size": 15,
      "asking_price_median": 2350,
      "mileage_km_median": 230000
    },
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "sample_size": 7,
      "asking_price_median": 1800,
      "mileage_km_median": 170000
    },
    {
      "year": 1994,
      "sample_size": 13,
      "asking_price_median": 1680,
      "mileage_km_median": 282000
    },
    {
      "year": 1993,
      "sample_size": 8,
      "asking_price_median": 1300,
      "mileage_km_median": 196267
    },
    {
      "year": 1992,
      "sample_size": 10,
      "asking_price_median": 1500,
      "mileage_km_median": 200000
    },
    {
      "year": 1989,
      "sample_size": 12,
      "asking_price_median": 2945,
      "mileage_km_median": 133000
    }
  ],
  "related": {
    "model": "https://carsbuyer.org/pt/preco/volkswagen-golf",
    "hub": "https://carsbuyer.org/pt/depreciacao",
    "methodology": "https://carsbuyer.org/pt/metodologia"
  }
}