{
  "source": "Carsbuyer",
  "source_url": "https://carsbuyer.org/pt/depreciacao/volkswagen-polo",
  "licence": "Citação permitida com atribuição a Carsbuyer e indicação da data.",
  "measured": "asking_price",
  "measured_note": "Preços PEDIDOS em anúncios ativos do OLX Portugal, não preços de venda fechados.",
  "collected_until": "2026-09-15",
  "updated_at": "2026-09-15T06:51:28Z",
  "market": "PT",
  "currency": "EUR",
  "brand": "Volkswagen",
  "model": "Polo",
  "slug": "volkswagen-polo",
  "sample_size": 348,
  "method": "Ajuste log-linear do preço pedido mediano sobre o ano de fabrico; a taxa é uma percentagem do valor restante por ano de idade.",
  "annual_depreciation_rate": 0.111,
  "fit_r2": 0.975,
  "reference_year": 2026,
  "measured_age_range": {
    "from": 7,
    "to": 31
  },
  "model_year_range": {
    "from": 1995,
    "to": 2019
  },
  "half_life_years": 5.9,
  "retained_value": {
    "after_1y": 0.889,
    "after_3y": 0.703,
    "after_5y": 0.556,
    "after_8y": 0.391
  },
  "retained_value_base": {
    "model_year": 2019,
    "age": 7,
    "fitted_price_eur": 13395
  },
  "cost_of_one_year_of_age": [
    {
      "age": 7,
      "model_year": 2019,
      "cost_eur": 1483
    },
    {
      "age": 8,
      "model_year": 2018,
      "cost_eur": 1319
    },
    {
      "age": 9,
      "model_year": 2017,
      "cost_eur": 1173
    },
    {
      "age": 10,
      "model_year": 2016,
      "cost_eur": 1043
    },
    {
      "age": 11,
      "model_year": 2015,
      "cost_eur": 927
    },
    {
      "age": 12,
      "model_year": 2014,
      "cost_eur": 825
    },
    {
      "age": 13,
      "model_year": 2013,
      "cost_eur": 733
    },
    {
      "age": 14,
      "model_year": 2012,
      "cost_eur": 652
    },
    {
      "age": 15,
      "model_year": 2011,
      "cost_eur": 580
    },
    {
      "age": 16,
      "model_year": 2010,
      "cost_eur": 516
    },
    {
      "age": 17,
      "model_year": 2009,
      "cost_eur": 459
    },
    {
      "age": 18,
      "model_year": 2008,
      "cost_eur": 408
    },
    {
      "age": 19,
      "model_year": 2007,
      "cost_eur": 363
    },
    {
      "age": 20,
      "model_year": 2006,
      "cost_eur": 323
    },
    {
      "age": 21,
      "model_year": 2005,
      "cost_eur": 287
    },
    {
      "age": 22,
      "model_year": 2004,
      "cost_eur": 255
    },
    {
      "age": 23,
      "model_year": 2003,
      "cost_eur": 227
    },
    {
      "age": 24,
      "model_year": 2002,
      "cost_eur": 202
    },
    {
      "age": 25,
      "model_year": 2001,
      "cost_eur": 179
    },
    {
      "age": 26,
      "model_year": 2000,
      "cost_eur": 160
    },
    {
      "age": 27,
      "model_year": 1999,
      "cost_eur": 142
    },
    {
      "age": 28,
      "model_year": 1998,
      "cost_eur": 126
    },
    {
      "age": 29,
      "model_year": 1997,
      "cost_eur": 112
    },
    {
      "age": 30,
      "model_year": 1996,
      "cost_eur": 100
    },
    {
      "age": 31,
      "model_year": 1995,
      "cost_eur": 89
    }
  ],
  "age_from_which_a_year_costs_under": null,
  "caveats": [
    "A série é um corte transversal de anos de fabrico diferentes hoje, não o mesmo carro seguido ao longo do tempo.",
    "Entre o ano mais antigo e o mais recente o modelo mudou de geração, por isso parte da diferença de preço é equipamento e não idade.",
    "Os valores em euros saem da curva ajustada; as medianas observadas por ano estão em by_year."
  ],
  "rate_bend": {
    "age": 15,
    "rate_before": 0.075,
    "rate_after": 0.123,
    "f_statistic": 12.5,
    "note": "Ajuste log-linear com uma quebra contínua; publicado só quando a quebra explica os pontos melhor do que uma taxa constante."
  },
  "rate_bend_note": null,
  "by_year": [
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "sample_size": 12,
      "asking_price_median": 12400,
      "mileage_km_median": 90055
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "sample_size": 9,
      "asking_price_median": 10500,
      "mileage_km_median": 145000
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "sample_size": 11,
      "asking_price_median": 9750,
      "mileage_km_median": 137513
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "sample_size": 15,
      "asking_price_median": 8399,
      "mileage_km_median": 132000
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "sample_size": 17,
      "asking_price_median": 8000,
      "mileage_km_median": 123241
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "sample_size": 9,
      "asking_price_median": 6850,
      "mileage_km_median": 166678
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "sample_size": 16,
      "asking_price_median": 6575,
      "mileage_km_median": 160000
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "sample_size": 12,
      "asking_price_median": 5249,
      "mileage_km_median": 232000
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "sample_size": 20,
      "asking_price_median": 5450,
      "mileage_km_median": 179000
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "sample_size": 23,
      "asking_price_median": 6450,
      "mileage_km_median": 172000
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "sample_size": 12,
      "asking_price_median": 4750,
      "mileage_km_median": 207500
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "sample_size": 9,
      "asking_price_median": 5000,
      "mileage_km_median": 242000
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "sample_size": 16,
      "asking_price_median": 3870,
      "mileage_km_median": 198000
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "sample_size": 15,
      "asking_price_median": 2999,
      "mileage_km_median": 155000
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "sample_size": 16,
      "asking_price_median": 2575,
      "mileage_km_median": 212500
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "sample_size": 9,
      "asking_price_median": 2500,
      "mileage_km_median": 226808
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "sample_size": 19,
      "asking_price_median": 2250,
      "mileage_km_median": 200350
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "sample_size": 26,
      "asking_price_median": 1775,
      "mileage_km_median": 251688
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "sample_size": 15,
      "asking_price_median": 1600,
      "mileage_km_median": 286000
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "sample_size": 22,
      "asking_price_median": 1625,
      "mileage_km_median": 239000
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "sample_size": 96,
      "asking_price_median": 970,
      "mileage_km_median": 199000
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "sample_size": 11,
      "asking_price_median": 1000,
      "mileage_km_median": 188000
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "sample_size": 56,
      "asking_price_median": 925,
      "mileage_km_median": 204000
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "sample_size": 41,
      "asking_price_median": 800,
      "mileage_km_median": 173933
    },
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "sample_size": 24,
      "asking_price_median": 825,
      "mileage_km_median": 228000
    }
  ],
  "related": {
    "model": "https://carsbuyer.org/pt/preco/volkswagen-polo",
    "hub": "https://carsbuyer.org/pt/depreciacao",
    "methodology": "https://carsbuyer.org/pt/metodologia"
  }
}